Up By 15
Friday, June 20, 2008
Granted its just one poll and Newsweek at that but its still good news. Obama up by 15 points this early in the general election is nice and something we haven't experiences in years. Another good stat from the survey is below:
Obama's current lead also reflects the large party-identification advantage the Democrats now enjoy—55 percent of all voters call themselves Democrats or say they lean toward the party while just 36 percent call themselves Republicans or lean that way.
This may change over the summer and into the fall or maybe it will stay and if so this is great news for other down ticket elections in November. The more people identify with the Dems the more apt they will be to vote for candidates they might not know on their ballot. So much for the Conservative Majority Karl Rove and the GOP tried to force down our throats back in 02 and 04. Just remember, its still a pendulum and in time it will swing back to the right. Before it does its important for the Dems to get as much done as possible to get this country back on track.
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While we are on the topic of Obama, just yesterday Obama announced that he is opting out of Federal dollars for the General Election. This means that Obama is forgoing $85 Million in free money and its up to him to pay for the election himself. Obama had a verbal pledge to take funds but never got an official agreement from McCain so he decided to pay for it himself. People are saying that Obama may have upwards of $300 million to spend against McCain which can go a long way in some red and swing states.
Am I upset about Obama breaking his pledge, yeah a bit but on the other hand he is using the millions of doners as the wave to the White House instead of large doners and the traditional groups. Obama has taken the Howard Dean grassroots approach and expanded on it tenfold. He has used the internet and his community organizing skills to build a new coalition outside of DC. I will admit I haven't donated yet and I am still on the fence but will probably give in by September. I figure if I am going to donate money, I will do so after the dog days of summer when no one is paying attention. The 527s are not active on the GOP but I expect the slanders to surface come August. The Dem's biggest 527 Moveon.org has delisted itself as a 537 and will function as a PAC which has limits on donations unlike a 527. They will still attack McCain but will do so in a way that doesn't go too far outside of Obama's message. Overall, its a risky strategy but one that may be worth taking.
Posted by mardenhill 6/20/2008 09:54:00 PM
Labels: Politics
